Author Topic: Aug 11th  (Read 1874 times)

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Offline little_nasty

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Aug 11th
« on: August 11, 2005, 04:34:37 PM »
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  • <a href="http://www.yesalbum.com/v001/little_nasty/surf_report050811433.swf" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" class="bbc_link bbc_flash_disabled new_win">http://www.yesalbum.com/v001/little_nasty/surf_report050811433.swf</a>

    Offline little_nasty

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    Re: Aug 11th
    « Reply #1 on: August 11, 2005, 04:36:00 PM »
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  • can you people see this one?

    Offline The Knot

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    Re: Aug 11th
    « Reply #2 on: August 11, 2005, 05:54:06 PM »
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  • I  can see it fine just wish it wouldn't change page so fast or knot at all . just clicking it for your self would be a plus . And as usual it right on you are dam good at what you do LN thanks

    Offline rockawaybum

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    Re: Aug 11th
    « Reply #3 on: August 11, 2005, 06:04:08 PM »
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  • i can see im just pissed there arent any 2 or higher
    double concave to a single to a triple back to a double to single to a vee out. 41 fins ,721 channels, 2107 pinlines, 88oz glass on top and 68 oz  glass on the bottom. blue, yellow,orange,green resin tint.

    Jake

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    Re: Aug 11th
    « Reply #4 on: August 11, 2005, 06:06:16 PM »
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  • just cuz i see it doesnt mean i like it ...

    Offline little_nasty

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    Re: Aug 11th
    « Reply #5 on: August 11, 2005, 06:07:02 PM »
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  • I  can see it fine just wish it wouldn't change page so fast or knot at all . just clicking it for your self would be a plus . And as usual it right on you are dam good at what you do LN thanks
    try hitting pause, then you can advance as quickly or slowly as you like.

    Offline little_nasty

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    Re: Aug 11th
    « Reply #6 on: August 11, 2005, 06:13:52 PM »
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  • i can see im just pissed there arent any 2 or higher
    tomorrow in NJ maybe

    just cuz i see it doesnt mean i like it ...
    lol.. i hear ya.. i hope to take it private again once i get a chance and follow up with seacliff.  however, since i had to put up with that little whiny bitch i told you about the other day paddling to the top of the lineup on a knee high day with only 2 other chill cats on the peak babbling something about how he thinks he's a local.  naahhh.. i think i'll leave it up a few more weeks.  if it was at all feasible i would consider bringing back my nice old solid redwood tanka to do a little battleship run, but i don't think the airlines will accomodate.  maybe one of my other ugly sticks when i come back from my cuz's wedding.
    « Last Edit: August 11, 2005, 07:23:12 PM by little_nasty »

    Offline TropicalCreations

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    Re: Aug 11th
    « Reply #7 on: August 11, 2005, 07:31:51 PM »
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  • yo ln, i dunno if your trying to keep people out of the water or what or im reading the wrong forcast but i just cant see at all in the slightest but where your coming from look at this track, that is the absolute prime track for long island like epic all time i dont get it bro any insight into where your coming from would be nice



    http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurricane/storms.asp?ocean=atlantic&storm=Irene&imagetype=move&partner=

    Offline little_nasty

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    Re: Aug 11th
    « Reply #8 on: August 11, 2005, 07:45:26 PM »
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  • dude, the cast only goes till wednesday..  plus, how big do you think she's gonna get... i mean at this point she's only 5500 sq.nm... forecasted to grow to about 16,000 sq.nm of storm force winds and only 4400 sq.nm of 50kt winds... which is like 22% and 12% of Fabian's size respectively (as a benchmark)...  granted at a range of 600nm something should come through (but still 36-42 hours later which is still kinda on the edge of the present forecast horizon), but the wave generation field looks small at present.. but it'll update once they start initializing the wind models a little better.

    ps.  i can't believe you're using those accupimps
    « Last Edit: August 11, 2005, 07:55:44 PM by little_nasty »

    Offline The Lone Surfer

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    Re: Aug 11th
    « Reply #9 on: August 11, 2005, 07:57:43 PM »
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  • it pays to look at all the models and take past performance as some indication. For instance, the fnmoc is really hyped on this storm but i have found that fnmoc seems to be a worst case scenerio model--worst case for non surfers that is.

    Offline TropicalCreations

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    Re: Aug 11th
    « Reply #10 on: August 11, 2005, 08:31:40 PM »
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  • i hear ya its a small storm at present but im basing my ideas on climatology, irene is a young storm and will on her way twords us go through sevral weakening phases were the storm unwinds slightly expanding the wind feild and each time causing her to grow, this has been the case with almost every storm to start down there and make it up to 40 north or more so i bevlive she will be a much larger storm by the time she hits 35 north and our true swell window, im thinking 30,000 and 12,000 and hence much more swell generation..

    as far as the fabien refrence, fabien was on the outskirts of what is tradtionally considered our swell window and still managed to give us bombing swell, in the case irene comes hundreds of miles closer and as you very well know swell decay is much much less of a factor so we score more with allot less


    as far as accuweather i tend to belive their current track more the nhc's, nhc;s being further west
    « Last Edit: August 11, 2005, 08:33:45 PM by TropicalCreations »

    Offline little_nasty

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    Re: Aug 11th
    « Reply #11 on: August 11, 2005, 09:24:53 PM »
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  • well you're right, distance is less of a concern.  fabian came within 566nm, but the peak of our swell was generated from 831nm when its size was >70,000 sq.nm. of storm force winds.  But forecasts for Irene are suggesting 15,000-17,000 in 72hrs, and hitting your 35N at a range of about 340nm within 120hrs.  I just don't see her doubling in size between 72hrs & 120hrs.  Certainly not impossible, but even then still less than half the size of fabian.

    Offline SeaCliff

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    Re: Aug 11th
    « Reply #12 on: August 11, 2005, 09:35:39 PM »
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  • well you're right, distance is less of a concern.  fabian came within 566nm, but the peak of our swell was generated from 831nm when its size was >70,000 sq.nm. of storm force winds.  But forecasts for Irene are suggesting 15,000-17,000 in 72hrs, and hitting your 35N at a range of about 340nm within 120hrs.  I just don't see her doubling in size between 72hrs & 120hrs.  Certainly not impossible, but even then still less than half the size of fabian.

    At this point, I'll "settle" for half of fabian. ;-)
    Webmaster, NYNJSurf.com - Follow NYNJSurf on Instagram - click here ---> @NYNJSurf - Site Comments, questions or requests? Email me! [email protected]

    Offline little_nasty

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    Re: Aug 11th
    « Reply #13 on: August 11, 2005, 09:52:21 PM »
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  • well, let's see what we have... given the track and predicted position around 35N in 120hrs, leads us to think of 1999..



    Both Dennis and, ironically, Irene were located very near Irene's (2005) projected 120hr position with wind speeds between 70-80kts which is about right.  So let's dig up 1999.

    Offline little_nasty

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    Re: Aug 11th
    « Reply #14 on: August 11, 2005, 10:11:03 PM »
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  • dennis produced solid overhead swell, but those swells were produced a little farther away when Dennis was around 85kts and had 150,000 sq.nm. of storm force winds - twice the size of fabian - so not a good example.

    well the 1999 Irene was 90,000 sq.nm. at a range of 300nm and only produced waist to chest high swell, but she was moving very quickly to the NE...

    both not very good examples... oh well..
    « Last Edit: August 11, 2005, 10:18:10 PM by little_nasty »