TS Bertha

[nycfunkart]

and on track for bermuda

[aNYsurfer]

So far Bertha has out performed all the Nay Sayers. Though last year the Nay Sayers were right all summer. We will get waves from Bertha even if it turns north today and it will not. I agree with TropicalCreations when they turn north the swell potential goes down quickly. But maybe we will get lucky and it will do a loop like Felix did in 95.

[SeaCliff]

So far Bertha has out performed all the Nay Sayers. Though last year the Nay Sayers were right all summer. We will get waves from Bertha even if it turns north today and it will not. I agree with TropicalCreations when they turn north the swell potential goes down quickly. But maybe we will get lucky and it will do a loop like Felix did in 95.

at this point, between the current wind speed and fetch involved, we're virtually guaranteed to see at least something. Which for early July, is a helluva lot better than nothing!

[Waves be Good]

here's hoping she delivers something punchy enough to scatter the heap of people who show up after reading the hype.

[TropicalCreations]

here's hoping she delivers something punchy enough to scatter the heap of people who show up after reading the hype.

I doubt that, i would think based on current strength forcasts and distance we are looking at head high swell at 13 seconds. For example Fabien and Gert which took similar tracks and produced well overhead to double overhead 17 second swell were enormous cat 4's. This thing will need to come closer then Bermuda to create real big swell.


Ohh and like i said before the big numbers showing up on the buoys east of the Carribean are from the southern hemi coming. (we probally will never notice it with the big locally generated wind swell event on the way)

[uncutproducts]

here's hoping she delivers something punchy enough to scatter the heap of people who show up after reading the hype.

I doubt that, i would think based on current strength forcasts and distance we are looking at head high swell at 13 seconds.

head high at 13 seconds should be big enough to keep 80% of the people in the lineup out of the water.

[waterwolfnyc]

I don't need any of that closeout bombora action---just sent me something fun.

For a while.

[Wave Dancer]

I'll take what ever she has to offer and be grateful for it.Looking for a beautiful thursday morning
too.

[marmite]

Upgraded to a Cat. 3.  I'm off to the Bahamas [Eleuthera] in the morning but I can't understand why magicseaweed's surf report is only showing 5' for Thursday/Friday ?   


 MIAMI - Hurricane Bertha strengthened to a Category 3 storm Monday as it swirled in the central Atlantic, but it posed no immediate threat to land.
Forecasters expect the Atlantic season's first hurricane to head toward Bermuda. It was too early to tell whether the storm would hit the island, but residents were urged to monitor Bertha's progress.
At 5 p.m. Monday, the hurricane was located 730 miles east-northeast of the Northern Leeward Islands and about 1,150 miles southeast of Bermuda. It was moving west-northwest at about 12 mph. Maximum sustained winds were measured at 115 mph.

[surfdawg]

S Hemi is already making pinging sounds at the Hotel

[SeaCliff]

S Hemi is already making pinging sounds at the Hotel

 

[Mcfanning twin]

DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS BETWEEN 1900 AND 2300 UTC...BOTH NHC AND
CIMSS OBJECTIVE T-NUMBERS WERE OSCILLATING AROUND 6.0 ON THE DVORAK
SCALE. NORMALLY THESE NUMBERS CORRESPOND TO AN INTENSITY OF 115
KNOTS.  DURING THAT TIME THE EYE BECAME VERY DISTINCT AND WAS
SURROUNDED BY VERY COLD TOPS.  BERTHA COULD HAVE REACHED A PEAK
INTENSITY A LITTLE BIT HIGHER THAN PREVIOUSLY ESTIMATED DURING THAT
PERIOD. SINCE THEN...OBJECTIVE T-NUMBERS HAVE COME DOWN A LITTLE
BIT AND NEW ESTIMATES SUPPORT AN INTENSITY OF 105 KNOTS.  MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS ALSO BEEN ADJUSTED. THE INTENSITY IS EXPECTED
TO BE CONTROLLED BY EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLES DURING THE NEXT 12
TO 24 HOURS WHEN BERTHA COULD FLUCTUATE IN INTENSITY. THEREAFTER...
THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR SLIGHT WEAKENING DUE TO INCREASING
SHEAR BUT NOT AS MUCH WEAKENING AS PREDICTED BY THE SHIPS MODEL.
NEVERTHELESS...THE INTENSITY FORECAST CONTINUES TO BE HIGHLY
UNCERTAIN.

ON THE OTHER HAND...THE TRACK FORECAST HAS BECOME A LITTLE MORE
CERTAIN SINCE THE TRACK MODELS ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT AND THE
GUIDANCE ENVELOPE IS SMALLER. BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS WHILE APPROACHING A
WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE.  THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO
REBUILD SOME AND THIS PATTERN WOULD FAVOR A CONTINUATION OF THE
WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK FOR A DAY OR TWO....FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN
TO THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH. BY DAYS 4 AND 5 THE STEERING CURRENTS
ARE FORECAST TO COLLAPSE AND BERTHA WILL PROBABLY MEANDER FOR A
LITTLE BIT.

BERTHA IS CERTAINLY NOT THE ONLY MAJOR HURRICANE THAT HAS FORMED IN
THE MONTH OF JULY. THE LAST OCCURRENCES WERE HURRICANES DENNIS AND
EMILY IN 2005.

[aNYsurfer]

I see Thursday morning as being a good day to surf the mix. I see Friday as being the better day with the off shore winds and not so much wind swell riding on the main swell giving us some long clean rides. Looking forward to some Souther Hemi and Bertha's swell mix. Though I do not want to rule out Thursday's mix with the wind swell peaks on a solid swell.
To all the not so experienced watch out for the impact zone. Chest high hurricane swells are known for their ability to break boards.

[Igotsoul4u]

here's hoping she delivers something punchy enough to scatter the heap of people who show up after reading the hype.

Thats the beauty of summer swells.  Steamrolls all the trash right back into the beach.  should be really fun though!!!

[Chip]

"Hurricane Bertha has become a "major" category 3 hurricane, and The hurricane may grow in size as its forward motion decelerates."