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Mcfanning twin
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« Reply #15 on: July 06, 2008, 08:03:02 PM » |
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i will say this , if this is your first tropical event , and you are an inexperienced / beginner board riding / non able to duck dive type and the swell delivers some solid surf , please do the rest of us who have paid our dues over the years the courtesy of staying away from the main peaks where surfers who will make set waves and abide by some sort of decorum and competency .
At some point if this applies to you , you will have to wet your feet surfing tROP STORMS , just know your limitations padddle back out around the lineup out of the way , surf down the beach away from experienced aggresive surfers and dont *Eastern LI* your board .
If the litttle BS windswells we have been getting have you stressed , hurricane surf is not for you at this time , but test your boundaries cautiosly and thoughtfully and you have a good time .
theres always someone out there that gives a fair warning to those of you who arent as experienced. i must say, very well said dorado. nicely said, but very serious at the same time. |
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SeaCliff
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« Reply #16 on: July 06, 2008, 08:15:17 PM » |
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i will say this , if this is your first tropical event , and you are an inexperienced / beginner board riding / non able to duck dive type and the swell delivers some solid surf , please do the rest of us who have paid our dues over the years the courtesy of staying away from the main peaks where surfers who will make set waves and abide by some sort of decorum and competency .
At some point if this applies to you , you will have to wet your feet surfing tROP STORMS , just know your limitations padddle back out around the lineup out of the way , surf down the beach away from experienced aggresive surfers and dont *Eastern LI* your board .
If the litttle BS windswells we have been getting have you stressed , hurricane surf is not for you at this time , but test your boundaries cautiosly and thoughtfully and you have a good time .
theres always someone out there that gives a fair warning to those of you who arent as experienced. i must say, very well said dorado. nicely said, but very serious at the same time. Totally agree...thanks, Dorado... |
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"I could not help concluding that this man felt the most supreme pleasure while he was driven on so fast and so smoothly by the sea…" 40.58°, -73.70°
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lostsurf2
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« Reply #17 on: July 06, 2008, 08:40:51 PM » |
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watching the hurricane track updates is like a strip tease..never know whats gona happen in the end but its so good
like dorado said if you dont feel comfortable dont paddle out..wait for the fade to get your feet wet
and for the rest of you...if this becomes a swell maker...game on!!!!!! "pitted so pitted '08" wapahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh
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jscottk
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« Reply #18 on: July 06, 2008, 08:49:27 PM » |
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i will say this , if this is your first tropical event , and you are an inexperienced / beginner board riding / non able to duck dive type and the swell delivers some solid surf , please do the rest of us who have paid our dues over the years the courtesy of staying away from the main peaks where surfers who will make set waves and abide by some sort of decorum and competency .
At some point if this applies to you , you will have to wet your feet surfing tROP STORMS , just know your limitations padddle back out around the lineup out of the way , surf down the beach away from experienced aggresive surfers and dont *Eastern LI* your board .
If the litttle BS windswells we have been getting have you stressed , hurricane surf is not for you at this time , but test your boundaries cautiosly and thoughtfully and you have a good time .
Ahem! |
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TropicalCreations
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« Reply #19 on: July 06, 2008, 09:47:19 PM » |
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Kicked from this weekend, cant even think about Bertha... Ill do some research in the morning.....
By the way we have nice southern hemi that should show this week..... The hits keep on coming!
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Don't belive the hype!
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Kdropin
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« Reply #20 on: July 06, 2008, 11:57:27 PM » |
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yeah because i'm going away to antigua on tuesday!!!  i'll be boozing at a sandles while you guys are getting pitted.. enjoy.. taking it for the team |
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Mcfanning twin
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« Reply #21 on: July 07, 2008, 12:24:50 AM » |
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omg i cant wait for this...
and check this out:
THE CENTER IS A LITTLE FARTHER NORTH AS IT APPEARS TO BE REALIGNING
WITH THE MID-LEVEL VORTEX. THIS IS NOT A CHANGE IN TRACK SINCE
BERTHA IS STILL MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT
17 KNOTS. A WEAKNESS OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ALONG 50 TO 55
DEGREES WEST WILL PROBABLY CAUSE BERTHA TO BEGIN TO SLOW DOWN SOON.
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REBUILD SOME IN A DAY OR TWO
CAUSING BERTHA TO CONTINUE ON A WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWEST TRACK.
BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...THE STEERING CURRENTS ARE
FORECAST TO WEAKEN AGAIN AND BERTHA SHOULD SLOW DOWN CONSIDERABLY
AS INDICATED BY SOME GLOBAL MODELS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS
CONSISTENT WITH MOST OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE WHICH IS IN MUCH BETTER
AGREEMENT TONIGHT. NO NEED TO DISCUSS EVERY MODEL.
Could you imagine if the storm stalled due south of us?!?!? that would produce a swell for days.
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nycfunkart
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« Reply #22 on: July 07, 2008, 09:18:16 AM » |
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felix!
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waveslider
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« Reply #23 on: July 07, 2008, 09:33:26 AM » |
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ill be in nashville next monday through thursday. plan on whatever swell we get peaking with light offshores those 4 days.
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uncutproducts
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« Reply #24 on: July 07, 2008, 11:18:03 AM » |
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If the litttle BS windswells we have been getting have you stressed , hurricane surf is not for you at this time , but test your boundaries cautiosly and thoughtfully and you have a good time .
good advice. fingers crossed. |
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lostsurf2
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« Reply #25 on: July 07, 2008, 01:02:54 PM » |
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hurricane bertha
beyahhhhhhhhhhhhhhh
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waterwolfnyc
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« Reply #26 on: July 07, 2008, 01:45:31 PM » |
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I'll be out east all week. ta ta   oh, and yes...nicely said Mr. Dorado |
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"...there was about him a suggestion of lurking ferocity, as though the Wild still lingered in him and the wolf in him merely slept.” - Jack London
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Mcfanning twin
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« Reply #27 on: July 07, 2008, 10:54:09 PM » |
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DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS BETWEEN 1900 AND 2300 UTC...BOTH NHC AND
CIMSS OBJECTIVE T-NUMBERS WERE OSCILLATING AROUND 6.0 ON THE DVORAK
SCALE. NORMALLY THESE NUMBERS CORRESPOND TO AN INTENSITY OF 115
KNOTS. DURING THAT TIME THE EYE BECAME VERY DISTINCT AND WAS
SURROUNDED BY VERY COLD TOPS. BERTHA COULD HAVE REACHED A PEAK
INTENSITY A LITTLE BIT HIGHER THAN PREVIOUSLY ESTIMATED DURING THAT
PERIOD. SINCE THEN...OBJECTIVE T-NUMBERS HAVE COME DOWN A LITTLE
BIT AND NEW ESTIMATES SUPPORT AN INTENSITY OF 105 KNOTS. MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS ALSO BEEN ADJUSTED. THE INTENSITY IS EXPECTED
TO BE CONTROLLED BY EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLES DURING THE NEXT 12
TO 24 HOURS WHEN BERTHA COULD FLUCTUATE IN INTENSITY. THEREAFTER...
THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR SLIGHT WEAKENING DUE TO INCREASING
SHEAR BUT NOT AS MUCH WEAKENING AS PREDICTED BY THE SHIPS MODEL.
NEVERTHELESS...THE INTENSITY FORECAST CONTINUES TO BE HIGHLY
UNCERTAIN.
ON THE OTHER HAND...THE TRACK FORECAST HAS BECOME A LITTLE MORE
CERTAIN SINCE THE TRACK MODELS ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT AND THE
GUIDANCE ENVELOPE IS SMALLER. BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS WHILE APPROACHING A
WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO
REBUILD SOME AND THIS PATTERN WOULD FAVOR A CONTINUATION OF THE
WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK FOR A DAY OR TWO....FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN
TO THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH. BY DAYS 4 AND 5 THE STEERING CURRENTS
ARE FORECAST TO COLLAPSE AND BERTHA WILL PROBABLY MEANDER FOR A
LITTLE BIT.
BERTHA IS CERTAINLY NOT THE ONLY MAJOR HURRICANE THAT HAS FORMED IN
THE MONTH OF JULY. THE LAST OCCURRENCES WERE HURRICANES DENNIS AND
EMILY IN 2005.
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surfdawg
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« Reply #28 on: July 07, 2008, 11:05:24 PM » |
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Them: Bertha meanders 2 days, Bermuda gets beat on. At least its mostly the w side of the storm. Us: We get decent oblique angle swell, 5 days straight.
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skSURF
TDR
Local Hero
 Offline
Posts: 3258
Does any one read these?
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« Reply #29 on: July 08, 2008, 11:03:49 AM » |
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If the front can get on out of the way and let this storm regroup...  I am remembering Psycho's rant from last summer. Is it time to move to Locals Only room? That was my rant Psycho just took it to a whole new level. I have given up though. |
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